This week's fresh update

JULY 11, 2023 | Volume 8, Issue 127

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Conventional Vegetables

 

Asparagus

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Asparagus market continues to be tight in volume. Sizing harvested from the fields is trending mostly standard to medium, with very few XL and jumbo available; not even reaching pallet volume, mostly sold in cases. Tight volume is projected to continue for the next couple of weeks, waiting for the new fields in the South region to start production before we see more stable volume arriving and better variety in sizing.
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Bell Peppers

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No major change other than the fact that New Jersey and Michigan will start to harvest toward the end of the week. The Carolinas continues to produce a steady volume and weather permitting, harvest will continue for the next two-three weeks.
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Broccoli

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Georgia is done for the season. Mexico supplies have tightened over the last few weeks making volume difficult to come by.
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Cabbage

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Cabbage is in good supply in both Michigan and Wisconsin. Quality is excellent!
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Celery supplies have improved but remain somewhat limited this week due to a slow start in the Salinas and Santa Maria growing regions. Many growers are limiting harvest in order to allow the product to gain size. Oxnard is mostly finished for the season until they start again in fall. The primary shipping locations will be Salinas and Santa Maria. The warm weather forecast over the next couple of weeks should help to bolster growth rates and bring some much-needed pricing relief. Please reach out to your Robinson Fresh representative for updates and information regarding availability and promotions.
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Cucumbers

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Very active market, as volume is short across all regions. Michigan is seeing a deficit in production compared to last year. New Jersey doesn't have enough to meet demand but weather permitting, things will improve with local deals. We do expect Michigan to improve with harvesting this week.
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Greens

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Greens in Michigan and Wisconsin are in good supply and quality.

 

Leaf Lettuce

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Iceberg and leaf lettuce supplies are stable with overall quality reported as excellent. The primary shipping locations are currently in Salinas, Santa Maria, and Oxnard. Most growers are looking to promote romaine and green leaf through the month of July. The weather forecast calls for warmer temperatures with no rain this week. Please reach out to your Robinson Fresh representative for any additional information and promotional opportunities.
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Potatoes

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Potato markets continue to be very strong with demand exceeding supply on basically all varieties. Idaho is very low on russets, especially large sizes. We should start to see limited volume of new crop in about a month. The market will be a challenge until we get there.

 

Squash

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The squash market has been very active as volume from local deals is not quite producing yet. In the last few weeks, the weather has not provided any relief, but we saw better yields over the weekend in Michigan. Weather permitting, we should see steady volume in the upcoming weeks.
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Sweet Corn

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Demand, pricing, and availability are all becoming more stable. Georgia will be finishing in the next few days and the crop will transition further north to Illinois, Indiana, North Carolina, Delaware, and New Jersey, to name a few areas.
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Conventional Fruits

 

Apples

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The apple market is turning into a split market. We are seeing over half of the items and varieties begin to tighten and the remaining items stay loose and reasonably priced. As some growers begin to wind down or finish on some varieties, we are seeing availability tighten and pricing begin to rise. On the other items, we are still seeing good availability and lower pricing. I believe we will see more and more items get tighter as we progress through this month. The varieties that are showing weakness on pricing are the Pink Lady, Cosmic Crisp, and the Red Delicious bags. The tightest items remain all Grannies, all Golden Delicious, large Galas, large Fuji, and bagged Honeycrisp.
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Avocados

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Mexico
Total containers last week from Michoacan were 614 and 30 from Jalisco.
This week, the exports from Mexico to continue to be well below industry averages. Even as dry matter from the SICOA listings has seen a 90% approval rate from the USDA, what is most concerning about the current Loca crop is the size curve. Current cuts show 70% of the current Loca crop is 60s and smaller. Orchards with a different size curve are atypical. The Jalisco gap crop is not immune to these conditions; with this being a traditional harvest year, we can expect future yields to have the same size profile going forward. Mexico will need to self-moderate harvests for the first time as retail demand will dictate the total amount of fruit needed out of Mexico. Any effort to increase exports from now until mid- to late-August without 48s and larger will result in a significant difference in price between the 60s and 48s and larger due to the high percentage of smaller fruit coming off the trees at the moment. Direction from the retail sector will be key to keeping inventories right sized, even with the longer holding period that the Loca crop provides.
California
14 million pounds of California avocados are displacing fruit from Mexico. We should expect California to hover between 7-10 million pounds for the next 4-5 weeks. Ship peak dates are weeks 12-26. Market exit week is week 35.
Peru
Peru may hit 10 million total pounds! The presence of Peruvian avocados will have an immediate impact on the total number of pounds needed out of Mexico starting this week. We will begin to see the wide availability and willingness of retailers to shift some purchases from Mexico to Peru. As is the case with Mexico, not all sizes are valuable to the retail sector. With the current price perception of buyers, they are willing to issue POs only if they get the sizes their community’s demand. We will see a great disparity between the want and want-not sizes of the curve. If the opportunity is available for a Peru swap, we must be first to say yes, so please keep us informed of any possible opportunities.
Colombia
Due to weak European demand, Colombia may send close to 1 million pounds each week from now until late-July, mirroring the 2022 season.
Dominican Republic
Done for the season! Any shipments to the U.S. will be sporadic or of inconsequential volume. The U.S. is not the first ship-to option as Mexico’s volumes are greater than demand now. We do not expect to see a steady week-to-week supply coming in from the Dominican Republic.
Chile
The U.S. is not the first ship-to option as Mexico’s volumes are greater than demand now. We do not expect to see a steady week-to-week supply coming in from Chile. Only a total of 15 million pounds will be shipped to the U.S. In comparison, the domestic market consumes 220 million pounds.

 

Bush Berries

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Blueberries
Good promotable production for the foreseeable future. California still has good production for the next few weeks in the California Valley. Oregon will have promotable volumes starting this week through early August. Michigan and British Columbia have promotable volumes now through mid-August. Overall, blueberries have good quality, good supplies, and promotable opportunities through the next 4 weeks.
Blackberries
Limited supplies out of Mexico, with increasing supplies out of California. Mexican blackberries are almost done for the season but will continue to hang on while California ramps up. California has good volume and good quality; peak time is for the next two weeks and then will slow down as Oregon starts.
Raspberries
Shortages again this week. Mexico raspberry supplies continue to be in a demand-exceeds-supply situation with very limited supplies available.

 

Cantaloupe

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Arizona continues to ship cantaloupe, much later than a typical year due to the late start and weather remaining relatively cool. Harvesting should wrap up this week and the bulk of the production will move to Central California. Sizing in Arizona is currently peaking on 9 count with even amounts of Jumbo 9s and 12 count as well. Sugar remains good and quality is hit and miss. Some ground spots are present as are sunken areas. Most growers have slowly started in California with all expected to be going by next week. Sizing is peaking on 9 count followed by 12 count and then jumbo 9 count. Quality and sugar have been excellent as they get started. 
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Citrus

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Oranges
California Navels/Valencias
Navels are wrapping up very quickly down the final stretch of the domestic West Coast season. Many growers in California have finished already, with many finishing this week. There will be some navels through next week, but very limited in fancy fruit. There will be some deals on choice navels to finish the season. We are in full swing on domestic California Valencias, packing almost every day. Pricing is flat week over week with deals across the board on sizing. Crop has a good distribution across all sizes and quality has been excellent. 
Import Navels
Import navels from South Africa and Chile are scheduled to arrive this week. Pricing will open high for transactional sales until roughly the middle of July; then, pricing will start to come off and eventually plateau at its lowest point in mid-August. Sizing on the crop will peak on 88 count. South Africa experienced extreme rainfall two weeks ago. This rainfall will not impact first arrivals from South Africa, but it will cause delays on the next arrivals. From a quality perspective, fruit should be fine and hold up for the time being, but this could impact the fruit down later in the season. 
Cara Cara Oranges
Chile is slightly delayed due to the rain they received. Peak sizing will be 64/72/56 counts. Quality is expected to be good, but we will have a better picture next week when loading finishes. There was a slight freeze a few weeks ago in the central part of Chile. We are assessing the fruit as it is being harvested, but we don't anticipate any issues. The freeze was nowhere near as bad as last year's freeze. The first boat of Caras is going on the water next week it will be a mixed container with navels to see quality. There might be a few Caras in the market from South Africa around the same time also, but they have had hard rains. Expect fruit to be ready to ship the 4th week of July. 
Minneola
Delayed about 10 days this year due to warmer weather in Peru compared to last year. Quality is appearing to be good at this point, but we will get some better information as they begin to harvest and pack. Peak sizing will be 40-45 count. The 1st Peruvian boat left with a few pallets on it, and last week (July 3rd week), volume started to pick up on the boats. We expect fruit in week 3 of July (July 17th), and volume to be shipped out the week of July 24th. There is an outside chance we could start 7/20-7/21.
Grapefruit
Currently harvesting and packing Star Ruby grapefruit in California. Quality has been excellent and a good distribution of all sizes. California Star Ruby grapefruit will be available now through mid-July. Imports from South Africa will be here this week. Sizing this year is peaking on 28/40/48 count. Mid-range sizing will be limited this year. Peru is scheduled to start the middle of August. California is really pushing fruit right now as they have plenty and are looking to move fruit to wrap up the Star Ruby season. 
Lemons
California is all but done, with questionable quality and lack of volume. District 2 lemons had very little volume this year. Lemons out of Argentina are here and there is plenty of fruit available. We are seeing more arrivals and July will be a good month to start pushing lemons. Sizing out of Argentina will be smaller this year with peaks on 140/115/95 count, in that order. Mexico will start harvest next week, and volumes are not expected to pick up until August. 
Mandarins
Chilean and Peruvian mandarins are in full swing with steady arrivals. Fruit is peaking on 32s and smaller with more than 50% of the crop sizing in the 36/40 sizes. Fruit will be here through October into November. Pricing relief will start the back half of July. South African mandarins are arriving this week and there is a good distribution of all sizes.

 

Grapes

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This week, there will be many California shippers offering Flames out of the Arvin region with greens about a week later. With fruit still crossing the border in Mexico and large inventories still to move down in Nogales, we can expect competitive prices to remain for Mexican product. Mexico Flames will begin to dry up this week and leave mostly premium Sweet Celebrations and Sweet Globes that should extend another couple of weeks until California volume ramps up. In Mexico, shippers will try to work through remaining inventories before most retailers make the switch to U.S. product.
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Honeydew

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Honeydew numbers are still strong in the desert region with the Blythe region packing good volume. Sizing is peaking on 5 count, followed by jumbo 5/6 counts. Some scarring is present which is typical in the Desert. Sugar has been excellent. Central California is packing very few honeydew but that should change by next week. 
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Region: Veracruz, Mexico 
Currently, the crop is peaking on 175/200/230s. The forecast is not showing any rain, and the average temperature has risen significantly. The demand for limes has been moderate. According to the USDA, the crossings through Texas from last week were at 531; over the weekend, 140 loads crossed. Sizing profile is peaking on sizes 175/200/230. Size distribution is 110-8%, 150-13%, 175-22%, 200-22%, 230-19%, and 250-16%. The quality of the current fruit remains "regular." A lot of fruit is starting to have less shelf life and a thinner skin. This trend is going to rise as this week progresses and for the next week that follows. Looking ahead, there will be decreased volume as we end July and for the beginning of August. Expect the market to be higher in August due to less volume.

 

Mangos

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As we enter week 28, the region of Nayarit continues to pack and is expected to finish closer to the end of the month. Some rain was reported in this region but nothing that is affecting supply. Southern Sinaloa is packing but the majority of the sizes are 8/9s, with some 10s. Sinaloa has had a lack of rainfall and temperatures are heating up. Growers are monitoring their fields closely for any advance maturity. Northern Sinaloa just opened this week and is mostly packing Honey’s, peaking on 18/20/22s. Some Tommy’s are being harvested but in small quantities. Volume is expected to increase in the next week or two on most sizes. 
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Papaya

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Papaya availability remains low with some indications supply will improve slightly after mid-July. Demand still exceeds supply with most shippers into the U.S. claiming they are struggling to meet U.S. needs. Large importers have indicated weather has been a significant factor affecting the crop. Fruit is not reaching harvest condition which is affecting the overall availability of fruit out of Mexico. NO surplus fruit is available to offer at this time for transactional sales! The majority of sizes are between 6s, 7s, 8s, 12s, with NO surplus on any size. Quality is reported as good with fruit showing clean skin and little scarring and some speckling seen on the latest arrivals. Forecast has conditions tight until at least mid-July. There is NOT enough supply to service demand with prices trending higher.

We are currently shipping Anjous out of the Northwest this week. The Anjous are a good value and prices have stabilized with good supplies on most sizes. I expect this to hold steady for the next month. Bosc pears are finished out of the Northwest, and we are pretty much finished on Bosc imports as well. Bartlett pears have finished out of the Northwest, but there are now some import Bartlett pears arriving at East Coast ports. California will start with new crop Bartlett pears around July 21st this year. The crop looks slightly smaller than last year with good sized fruit.
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Pineapple

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Availability
Supply is not meeting demand for the U.S. market. 
Growing Regions 
Mexico
THE GAP HAS OFFICIALLY BEGAN FOR MEXICO! LITTLE TO NO SUPPLY FOR MEXICAN PINES! Offseason for Mexican pines will run from June 1st to August 31st, with little to NO fruit available during this timeframe. 
Costa Rica
Volume remains low, especially on large-count fruit, with regions still behaving differently from each other. The North Region has dramatically less availability on large fruit while the Central Region is tight on all counts. Lower volume is still considered a reaction to a reduction in yields. General availability in Costa Rica will continue to remain tight with no specific date offered as to when it will improve due to uneven flowering (NDF) issues such as low external color fruit with high internal condition. 
Quality & Condition
Costa Rica has good overall condition with strong brix, and lower yields on all calibers. Mexico has very little fruit available with irregular brix and small overall size.
Movement
The USDA is showing a dramatic decrease in volume versus prior week at 230 loads crossing for the entire continental USA versus 1,084 loads prior year. This could likely be due to a delay in reporting. 
Forecast
Little surplus fruit available at shipping points being offered by large grower/shippers. Market is higher with good demand for pineapples at all locations. Volume is expected to remain low for Costa Rica at the same time Mexican supply comes to a halt as they are currently in the summer supply gap which should run from late-May to mid-August.

 

Strawberries

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Santa Maria and the Salinas/Watsonville, California growing regions have availability, but individual grower availability depends on their daily volume. Santa Maria, California is forecast Wednesday for clouds, giving way to sun and then mostly sunny for the balance of the week. Highs are expected in the 70s Wednesday through Friday, increasing to the low 80s for the weekend, and lows in the 50s. Salinas/Watsonville is forecast for partly sunny, becoming mostly sunny for the weekend. Highs are expected in the upper 60s to low 70s, increasing to the upper 70s on Sunday, and lows in the 50s. California fruit is fairly good quality, medium size, occasional bruising, white shoulders, and some distressed fruit in Salinas/Watsonville due to varying weather patterns.
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Watermelon

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Watermelons supplies are good. Georgia is starting to wind down. There are still some late fields that are good. Lucedale, Mississippi is also going for another week. Missouri is just getting started. North Carolina and Indiana will start in a week. Texas is still going out of Dilley, Texas. Arizona will pick for another week. Southern California is going, and Central California will start next week.
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Organic Fruits & Vegetables

 

Organic Apples

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We are now shipping organic apples including organic Gala, Fuji, and Pink Lady apples. Due to the small crop, the pricing on all organic varieties is higher than last year and we expect these higher prices to last for the entire season. The imported organic Galas, organic Granny, and organic Honeycrisp are now arriving into the ports from Argentina and Chile, but in very small quantities at this point. Expect all these items to remain tight for the rest of the season until new crop starts in late summer. The organic Grannies are pretty much non-existent right now and many retailers will have empty shelves very soon.
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Organic Dry Vegetables

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Organic dry vegetables out of California are now going on peppers and other items and should be going for a couple of months. Georgia has some organic items going as well. There will be Mexican product coming into San Diego through July.
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Organic Melons

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Organic minis are done from Northern Mexico. We will start Patterson, California at the end of July.
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Organic Onions

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The organic market remains strong as we get further along in July. The were be new crop coming out of the Central Valley and we will be starting our red onions out of Hollister this week. Quality on these onions is very nice but will be limited in volume for a couple more weeks.
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Organic Pears

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Organic Anjou pears are now finished out of Washington State and Oregon. Organic Bartletts and organic Anjou are still trickling into Eastern U.S. ports from Chile. Expect these organic imported pears to be available for the first half of July.
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Organic Potatoes

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California market is still very strong. The yellow potatoes have finished and there are a few reds left. Russet potatoes are still very difficult to find if you can find them. There are not as many acres grown of russets this year and we will end up seeing a demand-exceeds-supply market all summer. By early August, we should start to see supplies coming out of the Northwest and by early September we could see Colorado starting.
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Organic Squash

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We now are starting to see supply coming out of California and pricing has finally come down some. By the middle of July, we should see several suppliers have multiple varieties available. Our Tobias Farms program is still on target as the crops are looking really nice and we should start to see our own supply by late August.
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Organic Sweet Potatoes

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The California organic sweet potato market is running smoothly right now. There is yet to be a shortage on any variety or size. The market is still steady in pricing, but an occasional deal can pop up. We will start to see supply tighten by the middle of July, but new crop will be close behind in August.
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Transportation

 

Summer is unfolding in the refrigerated truckload segment with the fresh produce harvest season underway in the Southeast. Regional capacity pressure has resulted in some elevated spot-market pricing as refrigerated equipment migrates to support the harvest in Florida, Georgia, Texas, and California. Produce Season was slightly delayed out of the Salinas Valley, yet the demand has continued, and we have seen LTR increase from 2:1 to 9:1, signaling the quick harvest recovery was a success. We expect demand and pricing pressures to remain highest out of California for the remainder of the season when compared to other produce and grilling regions. Consumers’ preference for fresh foods is returning and combined with outdoor grilling season of meats, refrigerated capacity will experience growing demand through the July 4th holiday in the U.S. Capacity will follow the regional harvest season through the summer. We offer a reminder that while national LTRs remain below 5-year averages, regional spikes will occur due to high-volume shipping for these two key product groups of fresh produce and meats. Expect LTRs and spot-market pricing to move with market demand as the season builds and peaks in each region.

 
 
 

Global Updates 

USA Ocean Port Congestion
The contributing factors of port congestion lie with labor disruptions, larger capacity vessels, chassis shortages, container shortages, infrastructure shortfalls, consignee receiving limitations, terminal inefficiencies, trucking industry shortages, and limitations of data analytics of true cargo readiness. U.S. congestion has improved at ports in 2023. The congestion for the U.S. West Coast and the Los Angeles/Long Beach port is down 20% from 2022. The current ocean port congestion levels in the U.S. are expected to remain stable. 
Ocean Carrier Consolidation
Fresh produce growers and shippers attempting to move cargo globally via ocean vessels are dealing with scenarios where ocean carriers genuinely dictate some markets. They dictate and determine the marketability and viability of export markets for many fresh produce exporters. Shippers are being forced to commit earlier to ocean lines to reserve space for upcoming seasons, and spot-market space on vessels is nearly impossible to secure. 
Refrigerated Vessel Capacity
Seaborne reefer trade is on the brink of returning to growth in 2023, with volumes set to increase by 2.1%, outpacing the wider dry cargo trade. This is due to lessening supply chain disruptors and growing reefer cargo demand. The latest Drewry trade estimates also show that all reefer-intense trade routes experienced year-on-year growth in 1Q23, expanding 2.7%. Booking space on board certain vessels does still remain challenging, with new surcharges from ocean carriers like "peak season surcharges" now being added or increased, and labor shortages in logistics continuing to impact the entire global produce logistics sector. Expect tight capacity and lack of space on vessels for specific lanes like Peru to California. 
Demurrage/Detention Charges
Shippers negotiating with ocean carriers or freight forwarders on perishable cargo contracts should request as much free time at destination as possible to reduce the risk of detention/demurrage charges when inspections/fumigations or drayage capacity constraints delay cargo delivery at destination. Unavoidable and unprecedented demurrage and detention charges due to delays in turning cargo at destination continue in 2023. 
Refrigerated Container Rates
While demand for shipping ocean containers has lessened in the majority of global trade lanes in 2023, that's not the case for all markets. For example, South and Central America trade lanes for refrigerated cargo continue to experience high demand. The elevated rates Latin America to USA for refrigerated cargo are expected to remain at their 2022 levels throughout 2023. Shippers should watch for "peak season" and fluctuating fuel surcharges which are added to high rates and which ocean carriers are slow to remove. 
 
 
For more global freight insights, please visit Global Freight Market Insights | C.H. Robinson (chrobinson.com).

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Fresh from the kitchen

Pineapple Crisp

Indulge in this fresh and delicious pineapple crisp dessert that will satisfy your sweet tooth. It is easy to make and requires minimal prep time. Try it today and make it a family favorite!

Ingredients
 
  • 1 large pineapple
  • 1 cup all-purpose flour
  • 1 cup brown sugar
  • 1 teaspoon baking powder
  • ½ teaspoon salt
  • 1 egg
  • ½ cup butter, melted
  • 1 teaspoon ground cinnamon

Cut Your Pineapple

  1. Cut off the top and bottom.
  2. Cut in half and then in quarters.
  3. Remove the core.
  4. Split into spears.
  5. Remove the rind.

Instructions

  1. Preheat oven to 350 degrees Fahrenheit (175 degrees Celsius).
  2. Crush and drain pineapple, then spread into a 9 x 9 inch square baking pan.
  3. In a medium bowl, mix together flour, sugar, baking powder, salt, and egg until smooth.
  4. Spread topping in dish.
  5. Pour melted butter over topping and then sprinkle with cinnamon.
  6. Bake in preheated oven 40–45 minutes. Serve hot or let cool.

Link here for additional information.

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